CAR/RWCQ 2014 – Day 3 – 6th of July 2014 |

Current standings after 2 rounds

Africa Cup 2014 – Day 3 – 6th of July 2014

Follow the matches of the last day of the cup of Africa 1 in Madagascar on

https://www.facebook.com/RugbyRedefined/app_142371818162

Match 5 Kenya v Zimbabwe

KO 13.00 local time

Kenya coach Jerome Paarwater has made 11 changes to the team that defeated Madagascar 34-0 on Wednesday for the crucial encounter against Zimbabwe in the final of the 2014 Africa Cup, at the Mahamasina Stadium in Antananarivo in Madagascar. The only one missing from the team who started the tournament by defeating Namibia 29-22 last weekend. is winger Dennis Muhanji, suspended for four matches by the CAR (Confederation of African Rugby) Judicial Panel for an act of brutality in the midweek Match against Madagascar. Muhanji has been replaced by another sevens star Kenny Andola in the team captained by lock-forward sensation Wilson K’Opondo,

With ten points from two matches (eight tournament points for two wins and two offensive bonus points) Kenya are hot favourites to make history by winning for the first time ever the right to represent Africa at a RWC tournament final. A defeat with a bonus point – either offensive, (by scoring four or more tries) or defensive (by having seven or less points scored against) would enable the Kenyans to qualify to the RWC 2015 finals in England.

Zimbabwe, with six tournament points, must defeat Kenya while denying them a bonus point to remain in contention for the coveted RWC qualifying slot. A win by one or two bonus points should see them overtaking Kenya on the finish line, to reach the RWC finals for the third time, the first time this century. (Zimbabwe represented Africa in both the 1987 and 1991 RWC tournaments). Coach Brendan Dawson, who was part of the 1991 RWC Zimbabwe team, made three changes to the side defeated 20-24 by Namibia in the midweek game, with Schalk Ferreira and Graeme Lawler replacing the injured duo Ian Ferreira and Sanele Sibanda respectively and hooker Keith Murray given the starting berth at the expense of Matthew Manidoma who moved onto the bench. Veteran centre Daniel Hondo retains the captaincy of a side determined to overcome the handicap of a having no practice matches in the build-up to the tournament, unlike the other three other participants.

Last 10 Matches played between the Kenya and Zimbabwe
12-Nov-13	Kenya	14 – 29	Zimbabwe
23-Jul-11	Kenya	21 – 26	Zimbabwe
25-Jun-11	Zimbabwe	42 – 24	Kenya
17-Jul-10	Zimbabwe	18 – 23	Kenya
12-Jun-10	Kenya	11 – 10	Zimbabwe
24-Jul-04	Zimbabwe	24 – 15	Kenya
25-May-03	Kenya	32 – 24	Zimbabwe
28-Sep-02	Kenya	19 – 12	Zimbabwe
3-Jul-93	Kenya	07 – 42	Zimbabwe
13-Aug-89	Kenya	09 – 56	Zimbabwe

Overall Stats Kenya			Overall Stats Zimbabwe
Games Played	14		Games Played	14
*Games Won	4		*Games Won	10
*Games Lost	10		*Games Lost	4
Games Drawn	0		Games Drawn	0
*Longest Winning Streak	2		*Longest Winning Streak	6
*Longest Losing Streak	6		*Longest Losing Streak	2
*Largest Points For	32		*Largest Points For	56
*Largest Points Against	56		*Largest Points Against	32
*Largest Winning Margin	8		*Largest Winning Margin	47
*Largest Losing Margin	-47		*Largest Losing Margin	-8
*Total Points For	236		*Total Points For	391
*Avg Points For	16.86		*Avg Points For	27.93
*Total Points Against	391		*Total Points Against	236
*Avg Points Against	27.93		*Avg Points Against	16.86
*Total Points Difference	-155		*Total Points Difference	155
*Avg Points Difference	-11.07		*Avg Points Difference	11.07
* = By Kenya			* = By Zimbabwe

POSSIBLE RR World Rankings outcome on Result

KEN (on 56.91 points) at a Neutral venue -vs- ZIM (on 54.46 points) in a RWC match

Possible Outcome	Rating Point Exchange	New KEN Rating	New ZIM Rating	Will ZIM overtake KEN?
If KEN win by 1-15 points	1.510	58.42	52.95	No
If KEN win by more than 15	2.265	59.17	52.20	No
If result is a draw	0.490	56.42	54.95	No
If ZIM win by 1-15 points	2.490	54.42	56.95	Yes
If ZIM win by more than 15	3.735	53.17	58.20	Yes

Kenya (starting Line-up 1-15): Joseph Kang’ethe, Samuel Warui, James Kang’ethe, Oliver Mang’eni, Wilson K’Opondo (captain), Brian Nyikuli, Michael Okombe, Martin Owila, Edward Achayo, Lavin Asego, Collins Injera, Patrice Agunda, Humphrey Kayange, Michael Agevi, Tonny Onyango,

Zimbabwe (starting line-up 1-15): Denford Mutamangira, Leith Murray, Kevin Nquindi, Schalk Ferreira, Sanele Sibanda, Graeme Lawler, Jaques Leitao, Lambert Groenewald, Hilton Mudariki, Guy Cronje, Stephan Hunduza, Daniel Hondo (captain), Tafadzwa Chitokwindo, Tangai Nemadire.
Referee: Lourans Van der Merve (SARFU)

Match 6 Madagascar v Namibia

KO 15.00 Local time

Namibia, with five tournament points are technically still in contention, should they beat Madagascar with a bonus point, only if Zimbabwe defeat Kenya without a bonus point, (while also denying them a bonus point) in the previous match. That scenario will see the three team equal on points (10 each) in which case the difference between the number of points scored and those scored against will be the first criterion to declare a winner, followed by the difference between the tries scored and those scored against. Should this fail as well, then the team who scored the biggest number of points in the tournament is declared champion; Should this not be enough, then the team who scored most tries in the tournament will be the winner. Finally, the last criterion – the team that had highest position in the IRB Rankings at the beginning of the tournament (June 26) wins the tournament (which is Namibia). At the end of the first match the team captained by flanker Rohan Kitshof, will know whether they are still in contention for RWC 2015 or not.

Madagascar, without a point from their previous two encounters play for glory and a win should offer their veteran coach Berthin Rafilamanana, who announced his retirement from the game, with a suitable farewell gift. Captain Jose Rakoto Harison, dropped for the previous match, is restored at fly-half while lock-forward Jean de Dieu Rakotonirina, at 43 the oldest player in the tournament, and possibly in the RWC 2015 qualifying rounds, is also making his farewell appearance.

Matches played between the Madagascar and Namibia
8-Jul-12	Madagascar	57 – 54	Namibia
1-Oct-05	Namibia	56 – 17	Madagascar
15-Jun-02	Namibia	116 – 0	Madagascar

Overall Stats Madagascar			Overall Stats Namibia
Games Played	3		Games Played	3
*Games Won	1		*Games Won	2
*Games Lost	2		*Games Lost	1
Games Drawn	0		Games Drawn	0
*Longest Winning Streak	1		*Longest Winning Streak	2
*Longest Losing Streak	2		*Longest Losing Streak	1
*Largest Points For	57		*Largest Points For	116
*Largest Points Against	116		*Largest Points Against	57
*Largest Winning Margin	3		*Largest Winning Margin	116
*Largest Losing Margin	-116		*Largest Losing Margin	-3
*Total Points For	74		*Total Points For	226
*Avg Points For	24.67		*Avg Points For	75.33
*Total Points Against	226		*Total Points Against	74
*Avg Points Against	75.33		*Avg Points Against	24.67
*Total Points Difference	-152		*Total Points Difference	152
*Avg Points Difference	-50.67		*Avg Points Difference	50.67
* = By Madagascar			* = By Namibia

POSSIBLE RR World Rankings outcome on Result

MAD (on 46.22 points) at home -vs- NAM (on 57.65 points) in a RWC match

Possible Outcome	Rating Point Exchange	New MAD Rating	New NAM Rating	Will MAD overtake NAM?
If MAD win by 1-15 points	3.686	49.91	53.96	No
If MAD win by more than 15	5.529	51.75	52.12	No
If result is a draw	1.686	47.91	55.96	No
If NAM win by 1-15 points	0.314	45.91	57.96	No
If NAM win by more than 15	0.471	45.75	58.12	No

Madagascar (starting line-up 1-15): Jean Willy Rabemananjara, Jean Felix Andrianjaka, Donald Rakotomialoha, Tolotra Ramaromiantso, Jean de Dieu Rakotonirina,Tiana Ravelomanantsoa,Claudio Ravelomananjara, Touissant Rabearilala, Jacuis Bayard, Jose Rakoto Harison (captain), Hery Ralaimidona, Edmond Rakotoarimanana, Sidonie Lantoniaina Rakotoarisoa, Alain Rakotonirina, Bernard Razafindranaivo,

Namibia (starting Line-up 1-15): Johannes Redelinghuys, Rathony Becker, Jaco Engles, Munee Tjiueza Uatijueza, Morne Bloom, Rohan Kitshoff (captain) Tinus du Plessis, Renaldo Bothma, Eneill Buitendag, Theuns Kotze, Johannes Tromp, Johan Deysel, Henrich Smit, David Philander, Chrysander Boltha.
Referee Francisco Pastrana (UAR)